Census Tract · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Garden Acres Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06077002701 · San Joaquin, CA · pop 6,362

For landlords sizing up Garden Acres, census tract 06077002701 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,213 monthly, set against $62,581 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 25% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,754

Renter share46.1%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate15.3%

Median income$62,581

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Garden Acres and the region

Centroid at 37.9648, -121.2360 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garden Acres scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Garden Acres

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

15.3% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,213 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Garden Acres

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Garden Acres

8.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Garden Acres

6.3

How Garden Acres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
33%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.8%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
33.8%Food insecurity
29.0%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
25.0%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garden Acres

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garden Acres, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Joaquin County average of 6.2 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06077002701

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06077002701?

Census tract 06077002701 in Garden Acres scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06077002701?

Median gross rent is $1,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06077002701?

15.3% of residents in tract 06077002701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,362.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06077002701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 92th, minority 88th, housing 46th.

What share of households in tract 06077002701 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06077002701 compare to Garden Acres overall?

Tract 06077002701 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Garden Acres at 8.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garden Acres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06077002701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garden Acres

Top eight tracts in Garden Acres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.