Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Parkmerced Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City

Tract 06081600900 · San Mateo, CA · pop 4,035 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

06081600900 is a census tract in the Parkmerced area of Daly City, CA. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.6

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,384

Renter share21.5%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$147,258

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Daly City and the region

Centroid at 37.7056, -122.4923 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parkmerced scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Daly City

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Daly City

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Daly City

4.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Daly City

5.2

How Parkmerced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.9%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
12.3%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Parkmerced

Average gross rent is $3,501, 37% above the Daly City average. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.1/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.9/10. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $147,258.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081600900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081600900?

Census tract 06081600900 in the Parkmerced neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081600900?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081600900?

8.6% of residents in tract 06081600900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,035.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081600900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 53th, minority 78th, housing 48th.

Is tract 06081600900 considered part of Parkmerced?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081600900 fall within Parkmerced (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081600900 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081600900 compare to Daly City overall?

Tract 06081600900 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06081600900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Daly City

Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.