Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Serramonte Eviction Risk: Elevated , Daly City
Tract 06081601603 · San Mateo, CA · pop 6,251 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
06081601603 is a census tract in the Serramonte area of Daly City, CA. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,251. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,077
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$111,181
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Daly City and the region
Centroid at 37.6554, -122.4609 · click any tract to drill in
Why Serramonte scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Daly City
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$3,255 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daly City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daly City
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daly City
5.2
How Serramonte compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Serramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Serramonte
Cost burden runs 64% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $111,181, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Average gross rent is $3,255, 28% above the Daly City average. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081601603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081601603?
Census tract 06081601603 in the Serramonte neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081601603?
Median gross rent is $3,255/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081601603?
10.7% of residents in tract 06081601603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,251.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081601603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 83th, minority 93th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 06081601603 considered part of Serramonte?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081601603 fall within Serramonte (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081601603 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081601603 compare to Daly City overall?
Tract 06081601603 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Daly City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daly City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Daly City
Top eight tracts in Daly City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Edgemar
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Bayshore
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Top of the Hill
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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