Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

San Mateo Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06081606202 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,805

Tract 06081606202 sits in San Mateo, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. Population here is 3,805. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score

7.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 34% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units1,168

Renter share61.3%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate1.7%

Median income$138,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Mateo and the region

Centroid at 37.5702, -122.3191 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Mateo scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Mateo

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

1.7% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,223 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Mateo

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Mateo

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Mateo

5.1

How San Mateo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.0%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
15.5%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
12.4%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Mateo

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $3,223, close to the San Mateo average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $138,804. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081606202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081606202?

Census tract 06081606202 in San Mateo scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081606202?

Median gross rent is $3,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081606202?

1.7% of residents in tract 06081606202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,805.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081606202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 9th, minority 85th, housing 91th.

What share of households in tract 06081606202 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081606202 compare to San Mateo overall?

Tract 06081606202 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of San Mateo at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Mateo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Mateo

Top eight tracts in San Mateo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.