Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Tanforan Eviction Risk: Lower , San Bruno

Tract 06081602400 · San Mateo, CA · pop 7,636 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06081602400 covers the Tanforan area of San Bruno, home to 7,636 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,650 a month against an average household income of $123,240 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 19% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units2,725

Renter share43.9%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate8.1%

Median income$123,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Bruno and the region

Centroid at 37.6445, -122.4357 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tanforan scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Bruno

8.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.9

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.1% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,650 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Bruno

6.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Bruno

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Bruno

5.3

How Tanforan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

15%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
13.6%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tanforan

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Bruno, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06081602400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081602400?

Census tract 06081602400 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06081602400?

Median gross rent is $2,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06081602400?

8.1% of residents in tract 06081602400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,636.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06081602400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 55th, minority 77th, housing 97th.

Is tract 06081602400 considered part of Tanforan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081602400 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06081602400 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06081602400 compare to San Bruno overall?

Tract 06081602400 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of San Bruno at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno

Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.