Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Tanforan Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Bruno
Tract 06081602400 · San Mateo, CA · pop 7,636 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06081602400 in the Tanforan area of South San Francisco, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,636 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,725
Renter share43.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$123,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Bruno and the region
Centroid at 37.6445, -122.4357 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tanforan scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Bruno
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,650 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Bruno
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Bruno
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Bruno
5.3
How Tanforan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tanforan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tanforan
Against San Mateo County at 44.9%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,650, close to the South San Francisco average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $123,240.
44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081602400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081602400?
Census tract 06081602400 in the Tanforan neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081602400?
Median gross rent is $2,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081602400?
8.1% of residents in tract 06081602400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,636.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081602400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 55th, minority 77th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 06081602400 considered part of Tanforan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081602400 fall within Tanforan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081602400 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081602400 compare to San Bruno overall?
Tract 06081602400 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of San Bruno at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Bruno; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Bruno
Top eight tracts in San Bruno ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Tanforan
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06081602100
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Tanforan
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06081601901
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Tanforan
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Pacific Manor
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06081602500
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Serramonte
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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