Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Scotts Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121200 ·
Santa Cruz, CA · pop 6,718 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Scotts Valley
Census tract 06087121200 covers part of Scotts Valley, CA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 14%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,348
Renter share24.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$171,471
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Scotts Valley
Very High
Within county
31th percentile
#48 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Low
Within state
14th percentile
#7,883 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
72th percentile
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scotts Valley and the region
Centroid at 37.0305, -121.9941 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scotts Valley scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Scotts Valley
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,256 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scotts Valley
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scotts Valley
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scotts Valley
4.8
How Scotts Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.3%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
5.1%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scotts Valley
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8.
Against Santa Cruz County at 48.5%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $2,256, 9% below the Scotts Valley average. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.
Against average income of $171,471, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121200?
Census tract 06087121200 in Scotts Valley scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121200?
Median gross rent is $2,256/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121200?
11.8% of residents in tract 06087121200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 20th, minority 33th, housing 65th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06087121200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06087121200 compare to Scotts Valley overall?
Tract 06087121200 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Scotts Valley at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scotts Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scotts Valley
Top eight tracts in Scotts Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.