Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087122402 ·
Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,363 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
Census tract 06087122402 covers part of Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley, CA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,363 residents. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 10%Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,969
Renter share19.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$153,728
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
Moderate
Within county
19th percentile
#56 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
Very Low
Within state
6th percentile
#8,542 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
63th percentile
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley and the region
Centroid at 36.9727, -121.8280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,485 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
5.9
How Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.1%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.6%Food insecurity
9.5%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
15.4%Frequent mental distress
29.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $2,485, 29% below the Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
It sits 1.7 points below the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points cooler.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087122402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087122402?
Census tract 06087122402 in Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087122402?
Median gross rent is $2,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087122402?
5.1% of residents in tract 06087122402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,363.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087122402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 35th, minority 49th, housing 51th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06087122402 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06087122402 compare to Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley overall?
Tract 06087122402 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aptos Hills-Larkin Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.