Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
deer Creek Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Shasta Lake
Tract 06089011702 · Shasta, CA · pop 3,582 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 06089011702 covers part of the deer Creek Manor area of Shasta Lake, CA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,582. Against Shasta County at 44.1%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,276
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$58,590
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shasta Lake and the region
Centroid at 40.6713, -122.3694 · click any tract to drill in
Why deer Creek Manor scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shasta Lake
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shasta Lake
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shasta Lake
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shasta Lake
6.7
How deer Creek Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within deer Creek Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 21.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in deer Creek Manor
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.8/10.
Against the Shasta County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,128, 13% below the Shasta Lake average. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,590.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06089011702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06089011702?
Census tract 06089011702 in the deer Creek Manor neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06089011702?
Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06089011702?
20.7% of residents in tract 06089011702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,582.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06089011702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 98th, minority 42th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 06089011702 considered part of deer Creek Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06089011702 fall within deer Creek Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06089011702 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06089011702 compare to Shasta Lake overall?
Tract 06089011702 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Shasta Lake at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shasta Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shasta Lake
Top eight tracts in Shasta Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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