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Neighborhood · Shasta Lake, CA

deer Creek Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,583 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.4–7.5

deer Creek Manor takes in 2 census tracts of Shasta Lake, CA, population 6,583. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 29.3% citywide, putting deer Creek Manor 19.9% over its own city.

21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.4 to 7.5, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,343, close to the Shasta Lake average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $68,623. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
deer Creek Manor vs Shasta Lake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.2% +68%
Shasta Lake: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,343 +3%
Shasta Lake: $1,298
Average HH income
$68,623 +12%
Shasta Lake: $61,319
Poverty rate
18.2% +13%
Shasta Lake: 16.1%
Renter share
38.5% +21%
Shasta Lake: 31.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across deer Creek Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.4–7.5

Why deer Creek Manor scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
18.2% below poverty line · Range 3.8–5.2 across tracts
4.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–4.9 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

deer Creek Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

deer Creek Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0deer Creek ManorNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in deer Creek Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06089011702 7.5 3,582 59% $1,128
06089011701 6.4 3,001 38% $1,600
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in deer Creek Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About deer Creek Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for deer Creek Manor?

deer Creek Manor scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does deer Creek Manor compare to Shasta Lake overall?

deer Creek Manor scores 0.7 points higher than Shasta Lake overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,343 vs $1,298.
Q3

What is the average rent in deer Creek Manor?

Average gross rent in deer Creek Manor is $1,343/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of deer Creek Manor residents are renters?

39% of deer Creek Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Shasta Lake). The neighborhood has 6,583 residents.
Q5

Is deer Creek Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

deer Creek Manor sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in deer Creek Manor have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in deer Creek Manor is census tract 06089011702 (score 7.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 7.5, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is deer Creek Manor for landlords?

deer Creek Manor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Shasta Lake as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of deer Creek Manor?

deer Creek Manor has 6,428 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11%), Other / Multiracial (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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