Census Tract · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Guerneville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06097153710 ·
Sonoma, CA · pop 2,400 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Guerneville
Tract 06097153710 sits in Guerneville, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. It is home to 2,400 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 15%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$85,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Guerneville
Very High
Within county
60th percentile
#49 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
Elevated
Within state
44th percentile
#5,095 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
85th percentile
#12,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Guerneville and the region
Centroid at 38.5060, -122.9766 · click any tract to drill in
Why Guerneville scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Guerneville
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,765 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guerneville
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guerneville
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guerneville
6.7
How Guerneville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.2%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Guerneville
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,765, 12% above the Guerneville average. Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters. It tracks the Sonoma County average of 6.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,219. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06097153710
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153710?
Census tract 06097153710 in Guerneville scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06097153710?
Median gross rent is $1,765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153710?
9.1% of residents in tract 06097153710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,400.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153710?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 51th, minority 44th, housing 28th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06097153710 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06097153710 compare to Guerneville overall?
Tract 06097153710 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Guerneville at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guerneville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Guerneville
Top eight tracts in Guerneville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.