Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Guerneville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06097153710 · Sonoma, CA · pop 2,400 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Guerneville

Guerneville in Sonoma County anchors census tract 06097153710, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #28,776 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,765 a month against an average household income of $85,219 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 15% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,221
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$85,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Guerneville
Very High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
Elevated
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#5,876 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Guerneville and the region

Centroid at 38.5060, -122.9766 · click any tract to drill in

Why Guerneville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Guerneville
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,765 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guerneville
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guerneville
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guerneville
6.7

How Guerneville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Guerneville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 153710Guerneville: 8.18.1Guernevilleparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Guerneville

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Guerneville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sonoma County average of 5.5 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06097153710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153710?

Census tract 06097153710 in Guerneville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06097153710?

Median gross rent is $1,765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153710?

9.1% of residents in tract 06097153710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,400.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 51th, minority 44th, housing 28th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06097153710 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06097153710 compare to Guerneville overall?

Tract 06097153710 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Guerneville at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guerneville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Guerneville

Top eight tracts in Guerneville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related