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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Hills Golf Course Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08005007703 · Arapahoe County, CO · pop 5,201 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

In the Aurora Hills Golf Course neighborhood of Aurora, census tract 08005007703 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,568 a month against an average household income of $70,953 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$70,953

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Aurora Hills Golf Course
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 161 tracts In Arapahoe County
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#231 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 39.7203, -104.8578 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora Hills Golf Course scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,568 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
5.0

How Aurora Hills Golf Course compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora Hills Golf Course risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 007703Aurora: 5.45.4Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 846Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 19.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.3%Peak (2012)
  • 153Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 080050077032010: 182 filings (21.06/100 renter HHs)2011: 155 filings (18.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 225 filings (26.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 131 filings (15.29/100 renter HHs)2017: 153 filings (17.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aurora Hills Golf Course. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora Hills Golf Course

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Arapahoe County average of 6.3 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 846 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.3% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08005007703

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08005007703?

Census tract 08005007703 in the Aurora Hills Golf Course neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08005007703?

Median gross rent is $1,568/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08005007703?

24.1% of residents in tract 08005007703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,201.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08005007703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 63th, minority 79th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 08005007703 considered part of Aurora Hills Golf Course?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08005007703 fall within Aurora Hills Golf Course (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08005007703?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 846 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 08005007703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.71% of renter households, peaking at 26.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08005007703 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 08005007703 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Aurora at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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