Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Swallow Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Denver
Tract 08031002602 · Denver County, CO · pop 2,946 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 08031002602 belongs to Swallow Hill Historic District in Denver, Colorado. It is home to 2,946 residents and scores 6.8/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,012 a month against an average household income of $94,517 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,818
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$94,517
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denver and the region
Centroid at 39.7433, -104.9772 · click any tract to drill in
Why Swallow Hill Historic District scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,012 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5
How Swallow Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 73%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 410Total filings over 8 yrs
- 4.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2015)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 8 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Swallow Hill Historic District
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denver eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denver County average of 6.7 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 27% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 410 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 08031002602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031002602?
Census tract 08031002602 in the Swallow Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08031002602?
Median gross rent is $2,012/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08031002602?
13.7% of residents in tract 08031002602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08031002602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 0th, minority 40th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 08031002602 considered part of Swallow Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031002602 fall within Swallow Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08031002602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 08031002602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.04% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08031002602 compare to Denver overall?
Tract 08031002602 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Denver at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 08031002602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denver
Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
Westwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Westwood
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
North Capitol Hill
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Sun Valley
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08031004404
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Villa Park
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Ruby Hill
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Globeville
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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