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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Elyria Swansea Eviction Risk: High , Denver

Tract 08031003502 · Denver County, CO · pop 3,594 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 08031003502 covers part of the Elyria Swansea area of Denver, CO, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 25% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$57,047

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elyria Swansea
Very Low
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 178 tracts In Denver
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 178 tracts In Denver County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denver and the region

Centroid at 39.7864, -104.9482 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elyria Swansea scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5

How Elyria Swansea compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elyria Swansea risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0035026.8Denverparent city6.7Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elyria Swansea. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elyria Swansea

Adults with no health insurance runs 37.3% against 11.3% nationally. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Denver County average of 6.7. At $1,455 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Denver commands.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Denver. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $57,047. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 08031003502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031003502?

Census tract 08031003502 in the Elyria Swansea neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08031003502?

Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08031003502?

16.6% of residents in tract 08031003502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08031003502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 68th, minority 93th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 08031003502 considered part of Elyria Swansea?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031003502 fall within Elyria Swansea (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08031003502 compare to Denver overall?

Tract 08031003502 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denver at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 08031003502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denver

Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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