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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Elyria Swansea Eviction Risk: Moderate , Denver

Tract 08031003502 · Denver County, CO · pop 3,594 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

How risky is Elyria Swansea in Denver for landlords? Census tract 08031003502 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,455 monthly, set against $57,047 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 25% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units951
Renter share48.7%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$57,047

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elyria Swansea
Very Low
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 178 tracts In Denver
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#32 of 178 tracts In Denver County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denver and the region

Centroid at 39.7864, -104.9482 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elyria Swansea scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,455 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5

How Elyria Swansea compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elyria Swansea risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 003502Denver: 5.75.7Denverparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elyria Swansea. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elyria Swansea

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denver eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denver County average of 6.7 and above the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 21% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 08031003502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031003502?

Census tract 08031003502 in the Elyria Swansea neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08031003502?

Median gross rent is $1,455/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08031003502?

16.6% of residents in tract 08031003502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08031003502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 68th, minority 93th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 08031003502 considered part of Elyria Swansea?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031003502 fall within Elyria Swansea (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08031003502 compare to Denver overall?

Tract 08031003502 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Denver at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 08031003502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denver

Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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