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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

South Park Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Denver

Tract 08031004309 · Denver County, CO · pop 3,998 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 08031004309 sits in the South Park Hill area of Denver eviction risk, CO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It is home to 3,998 residents. Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.4% across Denver County.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 14% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,007
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$113,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In South Park Hill
Elevated
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#136 of 178 tracts In Denver
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#135 of 178 tracts In Denver County
Low
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#390 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denver and the region

Centroid at 39.7328, -104.9176 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Park Hill scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denver
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,615 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denver
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denver
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denver
7.5

How South Park Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Park Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 004309Denver: 6.86.8Denverparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Park Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Park Hill

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points below the Denver County average of 6.7.

At $1,615 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Denver commands. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Denver. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $113,719, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08031004309

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08031004309?

Census tract 08031004309 in the South Park Hill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08031004309?

Median gross rent is $1,615/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08031004309?

5.9% of residents in tract 08031004309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,998.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08031004309?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 7th, minority 50th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 08031004309 considered part of South Park Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08031004309 fall within South Park Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08031004309 compare to Denver overall?

Tract 08031004309 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Denver at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 08031004309 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denver

Top eight tracts in Denver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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