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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally

Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Roxborough Park

Tract 08035014207 · Douglas County, CO · pop 2,173 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

How risky is Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch in Roxborough Park for landlords? Census tract 08035014207 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,446 monthly, set against $134,150 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units679
Renter share3.7%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$134,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Roxborough Park
Very High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#21 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Elevated
Within state
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#1,213 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roxborough Park and the region

Centroid at 39.4733, -105.0692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch scores 1.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roxborough Park
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,446 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roxborough Park
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roxborough Park
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roxborough Park
3.4

How Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.51.5This tracttract 014207Roxborough Park: 4.34.3Roxborough Parkparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roxborough Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Douglas County average of 5.5 and below the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 0th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014207?

Census tract 08035014207 in the Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014207?

Median gross rent is $2,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014207?

9.0% of residents in tract 08035014207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 5th, minority 26th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 08035014207 considered part of Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08035014207 fall within Prospect Village at Sterling Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08035014207 compare to Roxborough Park overall?

Tract 08035014207 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Roxborough Park at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roxborough Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roxborough Park

Top eight tracts in Roxborough Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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