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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Dover

Tract 10001041101 · Kent County, DE · pop 3,262 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 10001041101 sits in the Grand Oaks neighborhood of Dover eviction risk, Delaware eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,953 a month while the average household earns $71,181 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 47% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$71,181

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Grand Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover
Moderate
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Low
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#148 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1177, -75.4849 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Oaks scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,953 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
4.7

How Grand Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 041101Dover: 4.54.5Doverparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grand Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Oaks

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Kent County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041101?

Census tract 10001041101 in the Grand Oaks neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041101?

Median gross rent is $1,953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041101?

2.4% of residents in tract 10001041101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,262.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 16th, minority 67th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 10001041101 considered part of Grand Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041101 fall within Grand Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 10001041101 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 10001041101 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041101 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Dover at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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