Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Dover

Tract 10001041101 · Kent County, DE · pop 3,262 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

10001041101 is a census tract in the Grand Oaks area of Dover Base Housing eviction risk, DE. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,262. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 47% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,133
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$71,181

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Grand Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover
Moderate
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 41 tracts In Kent County
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#173 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dover and the region

Centroid at 39.1177, -75.4849 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grand Oaks scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,953 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
4.7

How Grand Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grand Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0411014.0Doverparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grand Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grand Oaks

This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.4/10.

The voucher gap is 30.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $71,181, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Kent County at 44.8%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Kent County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Average gross rent is $1,953, 9% below the Dover Base Housing eviction risk average. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 10001041101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10001041101?

Census tract 10001041101 in the Grand Oaks neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10001041101?

Median gross rent is $1,953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10001041101?

2.4% of residents in tract 10001041101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,262.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10001041101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 16th, minority 67th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 10001041101 considered part of Grand Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10001041101 fall within Grand Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 10001041101 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 10001041101 compare to Dover overall?

Tract 10001041101 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Dover at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related