Neighborhood · Dover, DE

Grand Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 2.8–4.6

Grand Oaks is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Dover with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,071 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,545/month sits 15% higher than the Dover citywide average ($1,344).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Grand Oaks vs Dover How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.8% +42%

Dover: 34.3%

Average gross rent

$1,545 +15%

Dover: $1,344

Average HH income

$73,382 +26%

Dover: $58,336

Poverty rate

7.2% -59%

Dover: 17.5%

Renter share

57.8% +9%

Dover: 53.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.8–4.6

Why Grand Oaks scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–5.7 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 2.5–7.3 across tracts

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

58% renter households · Range 3.0–9.9 across tracts

6.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–4.7 across tracts

4.1

Economic stress

7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–8.1 across tracts

5.4

Risk score comparison

Grand Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Grand Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
10001041200	4.6	3,809	45%	$1,195
10001041101	2.8	3,262	53%	$1,953

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 58%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 41%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grand Oaks

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,818Total filings (sum)
44.81%Avg annual filing rate
62.3%Peak year (2012)
29.78%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grand Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.9%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility shutoff threat
15.1%Food insecurity
12.9%SNAP enrollment
9.6%No health insurance
30.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Grand Oaks

What is the eviction-risk score for Grand Oaks?

Grand Oaks scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Grand Oaks compare to Dover overall?

Grand Oaks scores 0.7 points lower than Dover overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,545 vs $1,344.

What is the average rent in Grand Oaks?

Average gross rent in Grand Oaks is $1,545/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Grand Oaks residents are renters?

58% of Grand Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Dover). The neighborhood has 7,071 residents.

Is Grand Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Grand Oaks sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Grand Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grand Oaks is census tract 10001041200 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.8 to 4.6, a spread of 1.8 points.

How safe is Grand Oaks for landlords?

Grand Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dover as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Grand Oaks?

Grand Oaks has 7,164 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.1%), Hispanic / Latino (22.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grand Oaks

1.9 George Meyers Development 2 tracts · pop 10,600

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dover

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grand Oaks.

4.5 Voshell Cove 1 tracts · pop 5,657 4.5 Fox Hall 1 tracts · pop 5,417 5.1 Oak Grove 1 tracts · pop 7,176 5.3 Dupont Manor 1 tracts · pop 4,777 5.6 Mayfair 1 tracts · pop 4,491 5.8 Fairview 1 tracts · pop 2,334

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