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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Trolley Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington

Tract 10003001200 · New Castle County, DE · pop 1,850 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 10003001200 belongs to Trolley Square in Wilmington, Delaware. It is home to 1,850 residents and scores 4.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #53,665 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,449 a month against an average household income of $87,155 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 46% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,058
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$87,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Trolley Square
Moderate
Within parent city
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 25 tracts In Wilmington
Very Low
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7587, -75.5632 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trolley Square scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0

How Trolley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trolley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 001200Wilmington: 4.94.9Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 57Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030012002010: 5 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (2.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2017: 6 filings (1.60/100 renter HHs)2018: 7 filings (1.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 32Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trolley Square

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003001200?

Census tract 10003001200 in the Trolley Square neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003001200?

Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003001200?

1.5% of residents in tract 10003001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,850.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 1th, minority 19th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 10003001200 considered part of Trolley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003001200 fall within Trolley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003001200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003001200 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003001200 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003001200 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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