Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Greenhill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elsmere
Tract 10003002400 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,225 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the Greenhill neighborhood of Elsmere for landlords? Census tract 10003002400 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,217 a month while the average household earns $41,438 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$41,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elsmere and the region
Centroid at 39.7502, -75.5798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenhill scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
4.0
How Greenhill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,035Total filings over 9 yrs
- 20.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.7%Peak (2011)
- 193Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 572Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greenhill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.9%Food insecurity
- 25.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenhill
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003002400?
Census tract 10003002400 in the Greenhill neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003002400?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003002400?
25.3% of residents in tract 10003002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 71th, minority 66th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 10003002400 considered part of Greenhill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003002400 fall within Greenhill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,035 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.40% of renter households, peaking at 27.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003002400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003002400 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003002400 compare to Elsmere overall?
Tract 10003002400 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere
Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
11th St. Bridge
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Shipley Run Historic District
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Hilltop
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Triangle
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Center City
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Hedgeville
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related