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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Greenhill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elsmere

Tract 10003002400 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,225 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

10003002400 is a census tract in the Greenhill area of Wilmington, DE. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,225 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,158
Renter share43.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$41,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Greenhill
Very High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 25 tracts In Elsmere
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elsmere and the region

Centroid at 39.7502, -75.5798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greenhill scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
4.0

How Greenhill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greenhill risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0024004.3Elsmereparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,035Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 20.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.7%Peak (2011)
  • 193Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10003002400
Filings dropped 22% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 572Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Greenhill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greenhill

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $41,438 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 25.0% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2,035 evictions over 9 years of observation.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 27.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003002400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003002400?

Census tract 10003002400 in the Greenhill neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003002400?

Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003002400?

25.3% of residents in tract 10003002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,225.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003002400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 71th, minority 66th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 10003002400 considered part of Greenhill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003002400 fall within Greenhill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003002400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,035 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.40% of renter households, peaking at 27.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003002400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003002400 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003002400 compare to Elsmere overall?

Tract 10003002400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere

Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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