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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Riverfront Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington

Tract 10003002700 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,943 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 10003002700 covers the Riverfront neighborhood of Wilmington in Delaware. Home to 2,943 residents, it scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #38,487 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,728 a month against an average household income of $71,496 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 30% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,472
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$71,496

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Riverfront
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 25 tracts In Wilmington
Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7339, -75.5640 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riverfront scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0

How Riverfront compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riverfront risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 002700Wilmington: 4.94.9Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 923Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 22.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.4%Peak (2015)
  • 98Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030027002010: 75 filings (20.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 73 filings (13.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 105 filings (19.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 105 filings (19.89/100 renter HHs)2014: 99 filings (18.75/100 renter HHs)2015: 150 filings (28.41/100 renter HHs)2016: 122 filings (30.58/100 renter HHs)2017: 96 filings (24.06/100 renter HHs)2018: 98 filings (24.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 31% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 481Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 9 filings (0.95× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2020-07-01: 9 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (0.70× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (0.35× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-01-01: 11 filings (1.16× baseline)2021-02-01: 7 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-08-01: 9 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.52× baseline)2021-11-01: 8 filings (0.70× baseline)2021-12-01: 12 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-03-01: 16 filings (1.68× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-06-01: 9 filings (0.78× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (0.58× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-10-01: 12 filings (1.04× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (0.84× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-03-01: 10 filings (1.05× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (1.24× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (0.96× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.52× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (0.85× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (0.62× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-07-01: 7 filings (0.58× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-10-01: 11 filings (0.96× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (0.87× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (0.84× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (0.78× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 5 filings (0.48× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2025-10-01: 10 filings (0.87× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (1.09× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riverfront

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003002700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003002700?

Census tract 10003002700 in the Riverfront neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003002700?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003002700?

15.6% of residents in tract 10003002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,943.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 40th, minority 82th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 10003002700 considered part of Riverfront?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003002700 fall within Riverfront (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 923 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.27% of renter households, peaking at 28.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003002700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003002700 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003002700 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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