Tract 10003010106 ·
New Castle County, DE · pop 1,709 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
10003010106 is a census tract in the Ashbourne Hills area of New Castle County, DE. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,709 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%Stable renters 43%Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units975
Renter share87.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$48,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Ashbourne Hills
Very High
Within county
69th percentile
#45 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Elevated
Within state
76th percentile
#64 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
National
61th percentile
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Claymont and the region
Centroid at 39.8190, -75.4568 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashbourne Hills scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Claymont
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Claymont
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Claymont
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Claymont
5.0
How Ashbourne Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
63%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
272Total filings 2020-21
3.5Avg monthly (observed)
9.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.38×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashbourne Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.3%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
16.3%Food insecurity
12.8%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashbourne Hills
88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Set annual rent against average income of $48,681 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
Against New Castle County at 44.1%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. It sits 0.8 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2.
That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent runs $1,315 a month.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003010106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003010106?
Census tract 10003010106 in the Ashbourne Hills neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003010106?
Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003010106?
11.2% of residents in tract 10003010106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,709.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003010106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 81th, minority 80th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 10003010106 considered part of Ashbourne Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003010106 fall within Ashbourne Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 10003010106 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 10003010106 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 10003010106 compare to Claymont overall?
Tract 10003010106 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Claymont at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Claymont eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.