Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
St. Elizabeth Area Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elsmere
Tract 10003012500 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,243 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The St. Elizabeth Area neighborhood of Elsmere anchors census tract 10003012500, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #35,290 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,069 a month while the average household earns $74,188 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,044
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$74,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elsmere and the region
Centroid at 39.7306, -75.5898 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Elizabeth Area scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,069 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
7.1
How St. Elizabeth Area compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 824Total filings over 9 yrs
- 15.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.5%Peak (2018)
- 142Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 154% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 573Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Elizabeth Area
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003012500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003012500?
Census tract 10003012500 in the St. Elizabeth Area neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003012500?
Median gross rent is $1,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003012500?
9.2% of residents in tract 10003012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,243.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003012500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 77th, minority 75th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 10003012500 considered part of St. Elizabeth Area?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003012500 fall within St. Elizabeth Area (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003012500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 824 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003012500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.97% of renter households, peaking at 24.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003012500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003012500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003012500 compare to Elsmere overall?
Tract 10003012500 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Elsmere at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere
Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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