Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
St. Elizabeth Area Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elsmere
Tract 10003012500 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,243 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 10003012500 sits in the St. Elizabeth Area area of Elsmere eviction risk, DE, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. Population here is 5,243. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the New Castle County average of 44.1%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,044
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$74,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elsmere and the region
Centroid at 39.7306, -75.5898 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Elizabeth Area scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,069 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
7.1
How St. Elizabeth Area compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 824Total filings over 9 yrs
- 15.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.5%Peak (2018)
- 142Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 154% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 573Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Elizabeth Area
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
At $1,069 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Elsmere commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 824 filings here across 9 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 24.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $74,188, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003012500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003012500?
Census tract 10003012500 in the St. Elizabeth Area neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003012500?
Median gross rent is $1,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003012500?
9.2% of residents in tract 10003012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,243.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003012500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 77th, minority 75th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 10003012500 considered part of St. Elizabeth Area?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003012500 fall within St. Elizabeth Area (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003012500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 824 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003012500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.97% of renter households, peaking at 24.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003012500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003012500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003012500 compare to Elsmere overall?
Tract 10003012500 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere
Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related