Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Greenhill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elsmere
Tract 10003012300 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,143 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 10003012300 runs through the Greenhill neighborhood of Elsmere. With 3,143 residents, it scores 6.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #9,223 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,200 a month while the average household earns $65,924 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$65,924
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elsmere and the region
Centroid at 39.7421, -75.5935 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenhill scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,200 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
7.1
How Greenhill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 845Total filings over 9 yrs
- 20.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.3%Peak (2015)
- 76Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 338Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greenhill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 19.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenhill
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 845 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 20.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.3% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003012300?
Census tract 10003012300 in the Greenhill neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003012300?
Median gross rent is $1,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003012300?
20.5% of residents in tract 10003012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 10003012300 considered part of Greenhill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003012300 fall within Greenhill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 845 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.90% of renter households, peaking at 26.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003012300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003012300 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003012300 compare to Elsmere overall?
Tract 10003012300 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere
Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related