Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Greenhill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elsmere
Tract 10003012300 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,143 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 10003012300 covers part of the Greenhill area of Elsmere, DE, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$65,924
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elsmere and the region
Centroid at 39.7421, -75.5935 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greenhill scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elsmere
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,200 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elsmere
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elsmere
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elsmere
7.1
How Greenhill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 845Total filings over 9 yrs
- 20.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.3%Peak (2015)
- 76Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 338Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greenhill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 19.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greenhill
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
It sits 1.5 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 845 filings here across 9 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,200, 10% below the Elsmere average. Filings peaked in 2015 at 26.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 20.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003012300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003012300?
Census tract 10003012300 in the Greenhill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003012300?
Median gross rent is $1,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003012300?
20.5% of residents in tract 10003012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003012300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 93th, minority 67th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 10003012300 considered part of Greenhill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003012300 fall within Greenhill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003012300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 845 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003012300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.90% of renter households, peaking at 26.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003012300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003012300 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003012300 compare to Elsmere overall?
Tract 10003012300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Elsmere at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elsmere eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elsmere
Top eight tracts in Elsmere ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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