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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Breckenridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Pike Creek

Tract 10003013400 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,239 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 10003013400 runs through the Breckenridge area of Pike Creek. With 2,239 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $856 a month while the average household earns $106,131 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 7% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,023
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$106,131

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Breckenridge
Very High
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#171 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Low
National
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pike Creek and the region

Centroid at 39.7426, -75.6543 · click any tract to drill in

Why Breckenridge scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pike Creek
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$856 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pike Creek
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pike Creek
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pike Creek
5.0

How Breckenridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Breckenridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 013400Pike Creek: 3.63.6Pike Creekparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 9.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak (2018)
  • 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030134002010: 10 filings (6.02/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (9.86/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (5.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 29 filings (20.42/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (5.63/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2017: 13 filings (6.88/100 renter HHs)2018: 34 filings (17.99/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 240% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 71Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Breckenridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pike Creek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and in line with the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003013400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003013400?

Census tract 10003013400 in the Breckenridge neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003013400?

Median gross rent is $856/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003013400?

7.5% of residents in tract 10003013400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,239.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003013400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 69th, minority 32th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 10003013400 considered part of Breckenridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003013400 fall within Breckenridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003013400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003013400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.60% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003013400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003013400 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003013400 compare to Pike Creek overall?

Tract 10003013400 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Pike Creek at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pike Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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