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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Breckenridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Pike Creek

Tract 10003013613 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,855 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

How risky is Breckenridge in Pike Creek for landlords? Census tract 10003013613 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a modest level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,737 a month while the average household earns $135,865 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 14% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,298
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$135,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Breckenridge
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pike Creek
Very High
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#140 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#253 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pike Creek and the region

Centroid at 39.7492, -75.6728 · click any tract to drill in

Why Breckenridge scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pike Creek
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,737 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pike Creek
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pike Creek
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pike Creek
3.2

How Breckenridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Breckenridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 013613Pike Creek: 3.63.6Pike Creekparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 171Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2010)
  • 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030136132010: 36 filings (9.11/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 30 filings (6.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 17 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 17 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2017: 5 filings (0.81/100 renter HHs)2018: 10 filings (1.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 63Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Breckenridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Breckenridge

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pike Creek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the New Castle County average of 5.7 and below the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.31x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003013613

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003013613?

Census tract 10003013613 in the Breckenridge neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003013613?

Median gross rent is $1,737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003013613?

3.0% of residents in tract 10003013613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,855.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003013613?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 8th, minority 34th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 10003013613 considered part of Breckenridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003013613 fall within Breckenridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003013613?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003013613 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003013613 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003013613 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003013613 compare to Pike Creek overall?

Tract 10003013613 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Pike Creek at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pike Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pike Creek

Top eight tracts in Pike Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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