Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Castlebar Eviction Risk: Lower , Bear
Tract 10003013903 · New Castle County, DE · pop 5,359 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 10003013903 in the Castlebar area of New Castle County, DE reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,359. Against New Castle County at 44.1%, 22% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$109,016
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bear and the region
Centroid at 39.6403, -75.6942 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castlebar scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bear
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,800 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bear
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bear
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bear
5.0
How Castlebar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 134Total filings over 9 yrs
- 18.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.6%Peak (2013)
- 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 48Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Castlebar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 13.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castlebar
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 134 evictions over 9 years of observation. Running hot, regional political climate reads 6.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 29.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003013903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003013903?
Census tract 10003013903 in the Castlebar neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003013903?
Median gross rent is $1,800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003013903?
8.4% of residents in tract 10003013903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,359.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003013903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 24th, minority 60th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 10003013903 considered part of Castlebar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003013903 fall within Castlebar (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003013903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003013903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.25% of renter households, peaking at 29.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003013903 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003013903 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003013903 compare to Bear overall?
Tract 10003013903 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bear at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bear eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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