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Neighborhood · Bear, DE

Castlebar Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 13,647 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 2.6–3.8

Castlebar is a white-black neighborhood in Bear with 2 census tracts and a population of 13,647 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,697/month sits 4% lower than the Bear citywide average ($1,771).

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Castlebar vs Bear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.2% +44%
Bear: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$1,697 -4%
Bear: $1,771
Average HH income
$91,299 +3%
Bear: $88,985
Poverty rate
12.7% +30%
Bear: 9.7%
Renter share
31.5% -10%
Bear: 34.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castlebar and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.6–3.8

Why Castlebar scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.2 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.8 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–5.0 across tracts
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0–7.5 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
12.7% below poverty line · Range 2.1–3.9 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.0 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Castlebar vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Castlebar score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Castlebar: 3.33.3CastlebarNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Castlebar

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003014903 3.8 8,288 49% $1,631
10003013903 2.6 5,359 22% $1,800
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Castlebar

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,586Total filings (sum)
  • 31.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.9%Peak year (2015)
  • 17.82%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 914Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.1Avg monthly observed
  • 13.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castlebar

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Castlebar

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Castlebar?

Castlebar scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Castlebar compare to Bear overall?

Castlebar scores 1.0 points lower than Bear overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,697 vs $1,771.
Q3

What is the average rent in Castlebar?

Average gross rent in Castlebar is $1,697/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Castlebar residents are renters?

32% of Castlebar households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Bear). The neighborhood has 13,647 residents.
Q5

Is Castlebar a high social-vulnerability area?

Castlebar sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Castlebar have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Castlebar is census tract 10003014903 (score 3.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.6 to 3.8, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Castlebar for landlords?

Castlebar carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bear as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Castlebar?

Castlebar has 12,870 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castlebar

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Castlebar.

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