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Neighborhood · Bear, DE

Castlebar Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 13,647 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.3–5.1

Castlebar spans 2 census tracts of Bear, DE and houses 13,647 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Bear rate of 26.6%. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 5.1. A 1.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Filings are well documented here: 2,586 across 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 53.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 16.0% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Average gross rent runs $1,697, close to the Bear average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $91,299. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Castlebar vs Bear How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.2% +44%
Bear: 26.6%
Average gross rent
$1,697 -4%
Bear: $1,771
Average HH income
$91,299 +3%
Bear: $88,985
Poverty rate
12.7% +30%
Bear: 9.7%
Renter share
31.5% -10%
Bear: 34.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castlebar and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–5.1

Why Castlebar scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.2 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.8 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–5.0 across tracts
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 4.0–7.5 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
12.7% below poverty line · Range 2.1–3.9 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.0 across tracts
4.5
Risk score comparison

Castlebar vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Castlebar score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4CastlebarNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Castlebar

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
10003014903 5.1 8,288 49% $1,631
10003013903 3.3 5,359 22% $1,800
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Castlebar

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,586Total filings (sum)
  • 31.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.9%Peak year (2015)
  • 17.82%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 914Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.1Avg monthly observed
  • 13.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castlebar

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Castlebar

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Castlebar?

Castlebar scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Castlebar compare to Bear overall?

Castlebar scores 0.2 points higher than Bear overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,697 vs $1,771.
Q3

What is the average rent in Castlebar?

Average gross rent in Castlebar is $1,697/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Castlebar residents are renters?

32% of Castlebar households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Bear). The neighborhood has 13,647 residents.
Q5

Is Castlebar a high social-vulnerability area?

Castlebar sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Castlebar have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Castlebar is census tract 10003014903 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.1, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Castlebar for landlords?

Castlebar carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bear as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Castlebar?

Castlebar has 12,870 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castlebar

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bear

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Castlebar.

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