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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , New Castle

Tract 10003015100 · New Castle County, DE · pop 3,483 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 10003015100 covers part of the Castle Hills area of Wilmington Manor, DE, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,483 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$59,883

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Castle Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In New Castle
Very High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Castle and the region

Centroid at 39.6782, -75.5806 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Hills scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Castle
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Castle
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Castle
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Castle
5.7

How Castle Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0151004.0New Castleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 169Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 9.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2015)
  • 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 10003015100
Filings dropped 31% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Hills

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 44.1% across New Castle County.

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 169 eviction filings across 9 observed years.

Against the New Castle County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The worst year on record was 2015, when 16.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the DE average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003015100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015100?

Census tract 10003015100 in the Castle Hills neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003015100?

Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015100?

15.5% of residents in tract 10003015100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 71th, minority 54th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 10003015100 considered part of Castle Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015100 fall within Castle Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 169 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003015100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003015100 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003015100 compare to New Castle overall?

Tract 10003015100 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of New Castle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Castle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Castle

Top eight tracts in New Castle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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