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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Southbridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Wilmington

Tract 10003015400 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,814 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 10003015400 covers the Southbridge area of Wilmington in Delaware. Home to 2,814 residents, it scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,269 a month against an average household income of $61,283 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,109
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$61,283

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Southbridge
Very Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 259 tracts In Delaware
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7132, -75.5536 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southbridge scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0

How Southbridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southbridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 015400Wilmington: 4.94.9Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 480Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 15.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.6%Peak (2018)
  • 64Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030154002010: 58 filings (20.35/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (11.93/100 renter HHs)2013: 59 filings (12.14/100 renter HHs)2014: 57 filings (11.73/100 renter HHs)2015: 52 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 53 filings (21.20/100 renter HHs)2017: 47 filings (18.80/100 renter HHs)2018: 64 filings (25.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 221Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-06-01: 8 filings (1.28× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (2.08× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2024-09-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.35× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (0.70× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southbridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southbridge

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.64x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003015400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003015400?

Census tract 10003015400 in the Southbridge neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003015400?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003015400?

14.7% of residents in tract 10003015400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003015400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 82th, minority 96th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 10003015400 considered part of Southbridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003015400 fall within Southbridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003015400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 480 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003015400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.45% of renter households, peaking at 25.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003015400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003015400 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003015400 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003015400 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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