Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Southbridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington
Tract 10003001902 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,123 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 10003001902 in the Southbridge area of Wilmington, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$66,451
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wilmington and the region
Centroid at 39.7198, -75.5314 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southbridge scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,611 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0
How Southbridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 645Total filings over 9 yrs
- 13.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.9%Peak (2015)
- 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 391Total filings 2020-21
- 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southbridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.0%Food insecurity
- 24.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southbridge
Against New Castle County at 44.1%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,611, 32% above the Wilmington average.
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.6 points above the New Castle County average of 4.2.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 24.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 645 evictions over 9 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 6.9/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2015, when 16.9% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003001902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003001902?
Census tract 10003001902 in the Southbridge neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003001902?
Median gross rent is $1,611/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003001902?
23.0% of residents in tract 10003001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,123.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003001902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 45th, minority 87th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 10003001902 considered part of Southbridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003001902 fall within Southbridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003001902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 645 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003001902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003001902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003001902 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 10003001902 compare to Wilmington overall?
Tract 10003001902 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington
Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West 9th Street Commercial Historic District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Price’s Run
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
11th St. Bridge
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Upper East Side
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Riverside
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
Delaware Avenue
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · DE
West Hill
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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