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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Southbridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wilmington

Tract 10003001902 · New Castle County, DE · pop 2,123 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 10003001902 reflects conditions in the Southbridge neighborhood of Wilmington, Delaware. On the national scale it ranks #16,045 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,611 a month while the average household earns $66,451 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 69% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$66,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Southbridge
Very High
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 25 tracts In Wilmington
Low
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 144 tracts In New Castle County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 259 tracts In Delaware
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wilmington and the region

Centroid at 39.7198, -75.5314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southbridge scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wilmington
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,611 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wilmington
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wilmington
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wilmington
4.0

How Southbridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southbridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 001902Wilmington: 4.94.9Wilmingtonparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 645Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 13.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.9%Peak (2015)
  • 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 100030019022010: 84 filings (16.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 64 filings (12.17/100 renter HHs)2012: 79 filings (15.02/100 renter HHs)2013: 68 filings (12.93/100 renter HHs)2014: 54 filings (10.27/100 renter HHs)2015: 89 filings (16.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 80 filings (14.44/100 renter HHs)2017: 71 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2018: 56 filings (10.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 391Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.32× baseline)2021-02-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2021-07-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-03-01: 17 filings (5.23× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.38× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (0.95× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (0.76× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (0.93× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (1.12× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-02-01: 11 filings (1.22× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2024-04-01: 10 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.27× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-07-01: 15 filings (1.88× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-10-01: 9 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 10 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (1.11× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-10-01: 19 filings (1.69× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (1.44× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southbridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southbridge

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the New Castle County average of 5.7 and above the Delaware statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 10003001902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003001902?

Census tract 10003001902 in the Southbridge neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 10003001902?

Median gross rent is $1,611/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 10003001902?

23.0% of residents in tract 10003001902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,123.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 10003001902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 45th, minority 87th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 10003001902 considered part of Southbridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003001902 fall within Southbridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003001902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 645 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003001902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.47% of renter households, peaking at 16.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 10003001902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 10003001902 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 10003001902 compare to Wilmington overall?

Tract 10003001902 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Wilmington at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wilmington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wilmington

Top eight tracts in Wilmington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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