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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12019030500 · Clay, FL · pop 2,458 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Orange Park

The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 12019030500 reflects conditions in Orange Park, Florida. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,523 a month while the average household earns $76,786 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 18% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$76,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Orange Park
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 45 tracts In Clay
Very High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange Park and the region

Centroid at 30.1644, -81.7225 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Park scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange Park
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,523 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange Park
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange Park
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange Park
6.9

How Orange Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 030500Orange Park: 2.32.3Orange Parkparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orange Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clay County average of 4.6 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12019030500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12019030500?

Census tract 12019030500 in Orange Park scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12019030500?

Median gross rent is $1,523/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12019030500?

22.0% of residents in tract 12019030500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12019030500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 87th, minority 61th, housing 60th.
Q5

How does tract 12019030500 compare to Orange Park overall?

Tract 12019030500 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Orange Park at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orange Park

Top eight tracts in Orange Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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