Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Atlantic Beach Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12031013905 · Duval, FL · pop 4,117 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Here is how census tract 12031013905, in the Atlantic Beach area of Atlantic Beach, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 4,117. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
About 22% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,315 monthly, set against $169,219 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,787
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$169,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlantic Beach and the region
Centroid at 30.3523, -81.3980 · click any tract to drill in
Why Atlantic Beach scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,315 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7
How Atlantic Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 50Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2002)
- 4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.18×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Atlantic Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Atlantic Beach
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atlantic Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 50 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 1.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.0% of renter households in 2002.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013905
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013905?
Census tract 12031013905 in the Atlantic Beach neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013905?
Median gross rent is $2,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013905?
4.1% of residents in tract 12031013905 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,117.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013905?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 19th, minority 20th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 12031013905 considered part of Atlantic Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013905 fall within Atlantic Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013905?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12031013905 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013905 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.18× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031013905 compare to Atlantic Beach overall?
Tract 12031013905 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Atlantic Beach at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlantic Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlantic Beach
Top eight tracts in Atlantic Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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