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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Atlantic Beach Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12031013906 · Duval, FL · pop 4,653 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12031013906 (Atlantic Beach in Atlantic Beach, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,095 monthly, set against $110,375 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 11% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,078
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$110,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Atlantic Beach
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Atlantic Beach
Moderate
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#211 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#4,659 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atlantic Beach and the region

Centroid at 30.3512, -81.4070 · click any tract to drill in

Why Atlantic Beach scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,095 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7

How Atlantic Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Atlantic Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 013906Atlantic Beach: 2.12.1Atlantic Beachparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 2.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2002)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310139062002: 34 filings (7.70/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (0.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (0.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 88% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 80Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (7.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Atlantic Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Atlantic Beach

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atlantic Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.80x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 122 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031013906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013906?

Census tract 12031013906 in the Atlantic Beach neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031013906?

Median gross rent is $3,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013906?

4.7% of residents in tract 12031013906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 33th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 12031013906 considered part of Atlantic Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013906 fall within Atlantic Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013906?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031013906 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.30% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031013906 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031013906 compare to Atlantic Beach overall?

Tract 12031013906 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Atlantic Beach at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlantic Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atlantic Beach

Top eight tracts in Atlantic Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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