Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
The Park at Nottingham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Myrtle Grove
Tract 12033002704 · Escambia, FL · pop 6,838 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 12033002704 sits in the The Park at Nottingham area of Warrington, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 6,838 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,248
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$58,659
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Myrtle Grove and the region
Centroid at 30.3931, -87.3309 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Park at Nottingham scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
8.5
How The Park at Nottingham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 228Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2007)
- 42Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Park at Nottingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Park at Nottingham
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Escambia County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 228 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 10.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033002704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033002704?
Census tract 12033002704 in the The Park at Nottingham neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033002704?
Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033002704?
23.7% of residents in tract 12033002704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033002704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 87th, minority 51th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12033002704 considered part of The Park at Nottingham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033002704 fall within The Park at Nottingham (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033002704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 228 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033002704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.72% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033002704 compare to Myrtle Grove overall?
Tract 12033002704 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Myrtle Grove at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Myrtle Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Myrtle Grove
Top eight tracts in Myrtle Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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