Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
The Park at Nottingham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Myrtle Grove
Tract 12033002704 · Escambia, FL · pop 6,838 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Here is how census tract 12033002704, in the The Park at Nottingham area of Myrtle Grove, looks to a landlord: a 5.6/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,838. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,176 a month against an average household income of $58,659 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,248
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$58,659
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Myrtle Grove and the region
Centroid at 30.3931, -87.3309 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Park at Nottingham scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
8.5
How The Park at Nottingham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 228Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2007)
- 42Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Park at Nottingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Park at Nottingham
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Myrtle Grove, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Escambia County average of 4.9 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 228 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 6.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.4% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033002704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033002704?
Census tract 12033002704 in the The Park at Nottingham neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033002704?
Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033002704?
23.7% of residents in tract 12033002704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,838.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033002704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 87th, minority 51th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12033002704 considered part of The Park at Nottingham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033002704 fall within The Park at Nottingham (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033002704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 228 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033002704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.72% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033002704 compare to Myrtle Grove overall?
Tract 12033002704 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Myrtle Grove at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Myrtle Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Myrtle Grove
Top eight tracts in Myrtle Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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