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Neighborhood · Myrtle Grove, FL

The Park at Nottingham Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 12,086 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.4–5.4

The Park at Nottingham is a 2-tract neighborhood of Myrtle Grove, FL and houses 12,086 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Myrtle Grove rate of 29.5%.

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 4.4 to 5.4. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.6/10.

Court records carry 417 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 10.4% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,231, 12% below the Myrtle Grove average of $1,391. The most recent observed rate, 5.1% in 2010, is well off that peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $65,208. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Park at Nottingham vs Myrtle Grove How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.3% +43%
Myrtle Grove: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,231 -12%
Myrtle Grove: $1,391
Average HH income
$65,208 +3%
Myrtle Grove: $63,011
Poverty rate
21.6% +49%
Myrtle Grove: 14.5%
Renter share
44.7% +0%
Myrtle Grove: 44.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Park at Nottingham and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–5.4

Why The Park at Nottingham scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 6.3–8.3 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 7.7–8.6 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–8.5 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
21.6% below poverty line · Range 4.7–5.9 across tracts
5.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–3.1 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

The Park at Nottingham vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Park at Nottingham score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0The Park at NottinNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Park at Nottingham

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12033002704 5.4 6,838 45% $1,176
12033002802 4.4 5,248 39% $1,302
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Park at Nottingham

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 417Total filings (sum)
  • 6.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak year (2007)
  • 5.06%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About The Park at Nottingham

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Park at Nottingham?

The Park at Nottingham scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Park at Nottingham compare to Myrtle Grove overall?

The Park at Nottingham scores 0.9 points higher than Myrtle Grove overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,231 vs $1,391.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Park at Nottingham?

Average gross rent in The Park at Nottingham is $1,231/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Park at Nottingham residents are renters?

45% of The Park at Nottingham households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Myrtle Grove). The neighborhood has 12,086 residents.
Q5

Is The Park at Nottingham a high social-vulnerability area?

The Park at Nottingham sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Park at Nottingham have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Park at Nottingham is census tract 12033002704 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.4, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is The Park at Nottingham for landlords?

The Park at Nottingham carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Myrtle Grove as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Park at Nottingham?

The Park at Nottingham has 11,467 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Park at Nottingham

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