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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Altos Verdes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057000202 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,975 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

12057000202 is a census tract in the Altos Verdes area of Tampa, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,975 residents. Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $35,323, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 28% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate30.6%
Median income$35,323

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Altos Verdes
High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0478, -82.4331 · click any tract to drill in

Why Altos Verdes scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.6% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$1,434 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Altos Verdes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Altos Verdes risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0002024.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,340Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 10.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak (2016)
  • 193Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057000202
Filings climbed 124% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 693Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 12.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Altos Verdes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Altos Verdes

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.2% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Cost burden runs 58% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.7/10. At $1,434 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Tampa commands.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,340 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 15.1% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057000202?

Census tract 12057000202 in the Altos Verdes neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057000202?

Median gross rent is $1,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057000202?

30.6% of residents in tract 12057000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 91th, minority 89th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 12057000202 considered part of Altos Verdes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057000202 fall within Altos Verdes (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057000202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,340 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.42% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057000202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057000202 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057000202 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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