Mathews Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. At $2,226 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Tampa commands.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 190 evictions over 11 years of observation. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 16.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.