Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Mathews Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057004200 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,475 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12057004200 (the Mathews Place area of Tampa, Florida) comes in at 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #56,594 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,226 monthly, set against $90,333 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units628
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$90,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9629, -82.4653 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mathews Place scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$2,226 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Mathews Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 68%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2003)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 52Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mathews Place
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 12% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057004200?
Census tract 12057004200 in the Mathews Place neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057004200?
Median gross rent is $2,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057004200?
20.9% of residents in tract 12057004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 76th, minority 73th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 12057004200 considered part of Mathews Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057004200 fall within Mathews Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057004200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.74% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057004200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057004200 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057004200 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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