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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Mathews Place Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,475 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Mathews Place maps to a single census tract in Tampa, FL and houses 1,475 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,226, 31% above the Tampa average of $1,701. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Court records for this tract carry 190 eviction filings. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 37% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, marginally above the Tampa rate of 33.5%. The worst year on record was 2003, when filings touched 16.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 6.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #34 of 70 neighborhoods in Tampa. The closest comparables inside the same city are Arrawana Park and Armenia Heights.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mathews Place vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.0% +10%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$2,226 +31%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$90,333 +27%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
20.9% +31%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
51.6% +4%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mathews Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Mathews Place scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
20.9% below poverty line · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Risk score comparison

Mathews Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mathews Place score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Mathews PlaceNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mathews Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057004200 4.5 1,475 37% $2,226
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 85

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mathews Place

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings (sum)
  • 10.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.5%Peak year (2003)
  • 6.20%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Mathews Place

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mathews Place?

Mathews Place scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mathews Place compare to Tampa overall?

Mathews Place scores 0.5 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,226 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mathews Place?

Average gross rent in Mathews Place is $2,226/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mathews Place residents are renters?

52% of Mathews Place households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 1,475 residents.
Q5

Is Mathews Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Mathews Place sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mathews Place for landlords?

Mathews Place carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mathews Place?

Mathews Place has 1,629 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36.8%), Hispanic / Latino (29.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mathews Place

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mathews Place.

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