Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Cairo Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa
Tract 12057005301 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,069 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
12057005301 is a census tract in the Cairo area of Tampa, FL. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,069 residents. At $2,388 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Tampa commands.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,592
Renter share71.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$116,891
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9496, -82.4461 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cairo scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,388 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Cairo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 137Total filings over 10 yrs
- 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2011)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 207Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cairo
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally.
The voucher gap is 20.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 137 eviction filings across 10 observed years.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when 2.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057005301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057005301?
Census tract 12057005301 in the Cairo neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057005301?
Median gross rent is $2,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057005301?
13.5% of residents in tract 12057005301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057005301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 2th, minority 47th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 12057005301 considered part of Cairo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057005301 fall within Cairo (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057005301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 137 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12057005301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057005301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057005301 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057005301 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057005301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Arlington Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Miranda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Fiorito
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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