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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Cairo Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,069 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Cairo is a one-tract neighborhood of Tampa, FL, population 4,069. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. At $2,388 a month, rents sit 40% over what the rest of Tampa commands.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Tampa rate of 33.5%. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The voucher gap is 20.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Court records for this tract carry 137 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.1/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 2.9% of renter households. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Recent filings have not receded much: 2.2% in 2016 against a 2.9% peak. That places it #55 of 70 neighborhoods in Tampa.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $116,891.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cairo vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.4% +27%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$2,388 +40%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$116,891 +64%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
13.5% -15%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
71.3% +44%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cairo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Cairo scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
13.5% below poverty line · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Risk score comparison

Cairo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cairo score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1CairoNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cairo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057005301 3.1 4,069 42% $2,388
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cairo

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 137Total filings (sum)
  • 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 2.15%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 207Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly observed
  • 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.62×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Cairo

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cairo?

Cairo scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cairo compare to Tampa overall?

Cairo scores 0.9 points lower than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,388 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cairo?

Average gross rent in Cairo is $2,388/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cairo residents are renters?

71% of Cairo households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 4,069 residents.
Q5

Is Cairo a high social-vulnerability area?

Cairo sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cairo for landlords?

Cairo carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cairo?

Cairo has 4,588 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.9%), Hispanic / Latino (9.2%), Other / Multiracial (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cairo

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cairo.

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