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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Branchton Eviction Risk: Lower , Tampa

Tract 12057010210 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,218 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up the Branchton neighborhood of Tampa, census tract 12057010210 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,707 a month while the average household earns $89,333 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 24% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,740
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$89,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Branchton
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#71 of 104 tracts In Tampa
Low
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#163 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#2,206 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.1379, -82.2988 · click any tract to drill in

Why Branchton scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,707 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Branchton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Branchton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 010210Tampa: 2.72.7Tampaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 413Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 27.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 100.6%Peak (2002)
  • 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570102102000: 5 filings (6.71/100 renter HHs)2001: 41 filings (54.99/100 renter HHs)2002: 75 filings (100.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (45.60/100 renter HHs)2004: 38 filings (50.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (7.94/100 renter HHs)2009: 47 filings (14.93/100 renter HHs)2010: 54 filings (6.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 39 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2015: 28 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 27 filings (2.61/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 440% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 193Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (1.87× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.07× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Branchton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tampa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 413 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 27.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 100.6% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057010210

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010210?

Census tract 12057010210 in the Branchton neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057010210?

Median gross rent is $1,707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010210?

12.1% of residents in tract 12057010210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010210?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 72th, minority 77th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12057010210 considered part of Branchton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010210 fall within Branchton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010210?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 413 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010210 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.15% of renter households, peaking at 100.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057010210 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057010210 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057010210 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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