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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Branchton Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,218 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Branchton maps to a single census tract in Tampa, FL, population 5,218. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Tampa rate of 33.5%.

The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 413 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 100.6% of renter households.

Running cool is economic stress, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #44 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Palma Ceia Pines and Seminole Heights of North Tampa. Average gross rent runs $1,707, close to the Tampa average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $89,333.

One tract means one number: 3.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Branchton vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.0% +49%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,707 +0%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$89,333 +25%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
12.1% -24%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
47.0% -5%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Branchton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Branchton scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
12.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Branchton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Branchton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7BranchtonNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Branchton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057010210 3.7 5,218 50% $1,707
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Branchton

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 413Total filings (sum)
  • 27.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 100.6%Peak year (2002)
  • 2.61%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 193Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly observed
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.02×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Branchton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Branchton?

Branchton scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Branchton compare to Tampa overall?

Branchton scores 0.3 points lower than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,707 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Branchton?

Average gross rent in Branchton is $1,707/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Branchton residents are renters?

47% of Branchton households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 5,218 residents.
Q5

Is Branchton a high social-vulnerability area?

Branchton sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Branchton for landlords?

Branchton carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Branchton?

Branchton has 5,113 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.3%), Hispanic / Latino (24.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Branchton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Branchton.

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