Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Antioch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Thonotosassa
Tract 12057010304 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,646 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Antioch neighborhood of Thonotosassa centers on tract 12057010304, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,646 residents. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $958 monthly, set against $75,093 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$75,093
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Thonotosassa and the region
Centroid at 28.0387, -82.2710 · click any tract to drill in
Why Antioch scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Thonotosassa
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$958 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Thonotosassa
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Thonotosassa
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Thonotosassa
7.0
How Antioch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 140Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2000)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Antioch
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Thonotosassa, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010304?
Census tract 12057010304 in the Antioch neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010304?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010304?
17.3% of residents in tract 12057010304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,646.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 85th, minority 48th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010304 considered part of Antioch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010304 fall within Antioch (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 140 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.91% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010304 compare to Thonotosassa overall?
Tract 12057010304 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Thonotosassa at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Thonotosassa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Thonotosassa
Top eight tracts in Thonotosassa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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