Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Tavares Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12069030804 · Lake, FL · pop 1,388 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 12069030804 sits in the Tavares area of Tavares, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 1,388 residents. 53% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units673
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$41,697
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tavares and the region
Centroid at 28.8017, -81.7201 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tavares scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tavares
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,814 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tavares
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tavares
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tavares
6.1
How Tavares compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 110Total filings over 13 yrs
- 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2010)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tavares. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tavares
Against Lake County at 47.4%, 78% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 52% of average household income of $41,697, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,814, 21% above the Tavares average.
Court records carry 110 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12069030804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12069030804?
Census tract 12069030804 in the Tavares neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12069030804?
Median gross rent is $1,814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12069030804?
7.2% of residents in tract 12069030804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,388.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12069030804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 62th, minority 49th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12069030804 considered part of Tavares?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12069030804 fall within Tavares (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12069030804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 110 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12069030804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12069030804 compare to Tavares overall?
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tavares
Top eight tracts in Tavares ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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