Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Morse Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , Tice
Tract 12071000402 · Lee, FL · pop 2,232 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 12071000402 covers part of the Morse Shores area of Lee County, FL, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,042
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$68,409
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tice and the region
Centroid at 26.6767, -81.7912 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morse Shores scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tice
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,532 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tice
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tice
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tice
5.0
How Morse Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morse Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morse Shores
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters.
It tracks the Lee County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,532 a month.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $68,409.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071000402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071000402?
Census tract 12071000402 in the Morse Shores neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071000402?
Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071000402?
4.8% of residents in tract 12071000402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,232.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071000402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 67th, minority 36th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 12071000402 considered part of Morse Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071000402 fall within Morse Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071000402 compare to Tice overall?
Tract 12071000402 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tice at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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