Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ox Bottom Crest Eviction Risk: Lower , Tallahassee
Tract 12073002415 · Leon, FL · pop 4,611 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12073002415 in the Ox Bottom Crest area of Tallahassee, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. At $1,869 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Tallahassee commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,862
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$118,864
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tallahassee and the region
Centroid at 30.5252, -84.2309 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ox Bottom Crest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tallahassee
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,869 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tallahassee
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tallahassee
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tallahassee
3.5
How Ox Bottom Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2006)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 86% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ox Bottom Crest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ox Bottom Crest
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 41.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 40% here against 46.4% across Leon County. Against the Leon County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
Court records carry 38 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 2.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12073002415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12073002415?
Census tract 12073002415 in the Ox Bottom Crest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12073002415?
Median gross rent is $1,869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12073002415?
2.7% of residents in tract 12073002415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,611.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12073002415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 61th, minority 25th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 12073002415 considered part of Ox Bottom Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12073002415 fall within Ox Bottom Crest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12073002415?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12073002415 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12073002415 compare to Tallahassee overall?
Tract 12073002415 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tallahassee at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tallahassee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tallahassee
Top eight tracts in Tallahassee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12073001001
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001901
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001002
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001902
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
All Saints
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Dwellings
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
College Town
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Richview Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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