Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Emerald Chase Eviction Risk: Lower , Tallahassee
Tract 12073002511 · Leon, FL · pop 1,740 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12073002511 in the Emerald Chase area of Tallahassee, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,740 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units845
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$104,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tallahassee and the region
Centroid at 30.4897, -84.2002 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emerald Chase scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tallahassee
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tallahassee
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tallahassee
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tallahassee
3.5
How Emerald Chase compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 10 yrs
- 4.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2008)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 13 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emerald Chase
At $1,736 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Tallahassee commands. The voucher gap is 31.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Leon County average of 4.1.
Against Leon County at 46.4%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 19 evictions over 10 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2008 at 12.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12073002511
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12073002511?
Census tract 12073002511 in the Emerald Chase neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12073002511?
Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12073002511?
9.9% of residents in tract 12073002511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,740.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12073002511?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 10th, minority 48th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 12073002511 considered part of Emerald Chase?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12073002511 fall within Emerald Chase (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12073002511?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12073002511 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.22% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12073002511 compare to Tallahassee overall?
Tract 12073002511 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tallahassee at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tallahassee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tallahassee
Top eight tracts in Tallahassee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Racquet Club
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Racquet Club
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001001
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001901
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001002
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12073001902
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
All Saints
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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