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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Palmetto Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12081001405 · Manatee, FL · pop 2,442 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 12081001405 in the Palmetto area of Palmetto, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,442 residents. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units771
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$58,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Palmetto
Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Palmetto
Moderate
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#45 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palmetto and the region

Centroid at 27.5245, -82.5903 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palmetto scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palmetto
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palmetto
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palmetto
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palmetto
7.4

How Palmetto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palmetto risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0014054.0Palmettoparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palmetto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palmetto

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,095, 20% below the Palmetto average. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters. It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $58,958.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081001405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081001405?

Census tract 12081001405 in the Palmetto neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081001405?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081001405?

5.9% of residents in tract 12081001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,442.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081001405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 68th, minority 56th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 12081001405 considered part of Palmetto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081001405 fall within Palmetto (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12081001405 compare to Palmetto overall?

Tract 12081001405 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Palmetto at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palmetto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palmetto

Top eight tracts in Palmetto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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