Palmetto Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Manatee County average of 53.5%.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Manatee County average of 4.1.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,124 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Palmetto commands.

The filing record is not thin: 152 evictions over 4 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.