Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Opa-locka Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 12086000417 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 4,500 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 12086000417 in the Opa-locka area of Opa-locka, FL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,500 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$44,672
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Opa-locka and the region
Centroid at 25.9067, -80.2399 · click any tract to drill in
Why Opa-locka scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Opa-locka
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,263 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Opa-locka
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Opa-locka
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Opa-locka
9.0
How Opa-locka compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 193Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Opa-locka. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Opa-locka
Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $44,672, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.5% against 11.3% nationally.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086000417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086000417?
Census tract 12086000417 in the Opa-locka neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086000417?
Median gross rent is $1,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086000417?
22.1% of residents in tract 12086000417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,500.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086000417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 81th, minority 100th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12086000417 considered part of Opa-locka?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086000417 fall within Opa-locka (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086000417 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086000417 compare to Opa-locka overall?
Q8
Was tract 12086000417 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Opa-locka
Top eight tracts in Opa-locka ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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